(Home team in CAPS, picks highlighted)
Kansas City Chiefs (-3) @ DENVER BRONCOS
San Francisco 49ers (-10) @ WASHINGTON REDSKINS
New England Patriots (-10) @ NEW YORK JETS
Minnesota Vikings @ DETROIT LIONS (+1.5)
If not for a horrendous showing from Dallas last week, I would have been 4-0 and hit every one of my picks! I won’t bet on Dallas again this season, too much vacillation week to week. I love the board this week value is jumping out from every line I’ve seen. We start out with the LOCK of the week, Kansas City @ Denver tonight. So Kansas City has two bad weeks and Vegas thinks they can’t win by 3.5 against a horrid Denver team? Bet the ranch on KC tonight. Kansas City hasn’t lost three games in a row in the Patrick Mahomes era, and I don’t think tonight is the night that occurs. Look for Mahomes to take out the frustration of the past two weeks on a milquetoast Denver secondary. The Redskins found themselves in the win column last week in spite of their incompetence because they played the Miami Dolphins, the worst team in the league. The still undefeated San Francisco 49ers have won every game on their schedule by double-digits excepting a close win in Pittsburgh in Week 3. I don’t see the Redskins’ putrid defense putting up much of a fight against this efficient Kyle Shanahan-led offense. I think the 49ers win by 20. There’s a classic AFC-East beatdown coming this weekend as the Patriots visit Metlife Stadium. Tom Brady always reserves his best games against his own division; Sam Darnold will throw at least three picks in this game. I think this spread is way too low for how good this New England team has been, especially defensively. I have no confidence in this Jets offense despite them being able to score last week against the Cowboys. Finally, we come to an NFC-North showdown with the Vikings and Lions. I truly believe the Lions are the best team in this division and would be the division leaders if not for some truly horrific calls last week against Green Bay. Kirk Cousins had a banner day in his last game against the Eagles, do not look for that to continue. Cousins has been ineffective all year and took advantage of a mediocre secondary last week. The Lions have one of the best secondaries in the NFL, and their run defense isn’t shabby either. I think the Lions hold Cousins and Dalvin Cook in check and win the game outright.
Record on the season (5-7)